How does ELO compare to the AP Poll at predicting outcomes?
Games where ELO and AP Poll predicted different winners
No disagreements found — both systems predicted the same winners!
Our ELO system generates predictions based on team ratings, strength of schedule, and home field advantage. Higher-rated teams are predicted to beat lower-rated teams.
The AP Poll doesn't make explicit predictions, but we can infer: if Team A is ranked higher than Team B, the AP Poll "predicts" Team A should win.